A mouse is tempted by cheese on a spring trap
Trading

The Second Mouse Gets the Cheese: Surviving the Liquidity Sweep

We have all been spoon-fed the same cultural lie since childhood: The early bird gets the worm. It is a great philosophy for getting out of bed, but it is a terrible philosophy for technical trading. In the markets, the early bird usually gets slaughtered by institutional algorithms. If you want to survive the daily grind of the charts, you need to adopt a much darker proverb:

Two skydivers falling one with a hoodie, one with a parachute.
Systems

The Hoodie Option: Why You Need a Trading Plan Before the Freefall

Trading is like getting tossed out of an airplane every single morning. You can either spend the night before meticulously packing your parachute, or you can try to fashion one out of your jacket on the way down. Here is why reacting to the market is a terminal mistake, and why you need a plan before the freefall.

Picture illustrating the concept of Ergodicity
Capital

The Multiverse Trap: Why You Are Not the Average

“Ergodicity” sounds like sci-fi, but it’s the reason most traders fail despite having winning strategies. We confuse the “average” return of the group with the “survival” reality of the individual. In this post, I explain why betting big is a non-ergodic trap, why nobody wants to get rich slow, and how to size your positions to survive your own timeline.

Trading

The Fog of the Live Edge: Why I Pay for Confirmation

Backtesting is a seduction—in hindsight, every trade looks obvious. But the “live edge” of the chart is a fog of uncertainty. In this post, I break down why I refuse to use limit orders for reversals. I explain my “Confirmation Tax” and how using Stop Entries acts as a sanity check, ensuring I only enter a trade when the market—not just my vibe—agrees with the direction.

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